
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{\label{tab:cw_first_map} Civil War Onset: Earliest Ethnic Maps}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
      Dependent Variable: & \multicolumn{5}{c}{Ethnic civil war onset $\times 100$}\\
      Model:                                   & (1)           & (2)           & (3)           & (4)           & (5)\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Variables}\\
      Lost home rule or lost unity             & 0.3531$^{**}$ & 0.4192$^{**}$ & 0.4009$^{**}$ &               &   \\   
                                               & (0.1300)      & (0.1248)      & (0.1410)      &               &   \\   
      Lost home rule only                      &               &               &               & 0.4285$^{**}$ &   \\   
                                               &               &               &               & (0.1493)      &   \\   
      Lost unity only                          &               &               &               & 0.3229$^{*}$  &   \\   
                                               &               &               &               & (0.1228)      &   \\   
      Lost home rule \& lost unity             &               &               &               & 0.4255$^{**}$ &   \\   
                                               &               &               &               & (0.1288)      &   \\   
      Lost home rule or lost unity (post-1816) &               &               &               &               & 0.5030$^{*}$\\   
                                               &               &               &               &               & (0.1992)\\   
      Lost home rule or lost unity (pre-1816)  &               &               &               &               & 0.3616$^{**}$\\   
                                               &               &               &               &               & (0.1343)\\   
      \midrule
      \emph{Fixed-effects}\\
      Year                                     & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Peace year                               & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      State                                    &               & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Border duration                          &               &               & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Baseline controls                        & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Extended controls                        &               & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Fit statistics}\\
      Observations                             & 39,729        & 39,729        & 39,729        & 39,729        & 39,557\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{6}{l}{\emph{Clustered (State \& Aggregate group) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{6}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}}\\
   \end{tabular}
   
   \par \raggedright 
   \parbox[t]{\width=\textwidth}{\textbf{Notes:} OLS estimates of Civil War Onsets. The unit of analysis is the ethnic segment year. 
          Baseline controls: segment area relative to state-leading group, transborder ethnic kin dummy, national unity dummy. 
          Extended controls: logged country and aggregate group size; ethnic fractionalization of country and aggregate group;
          logged distance to capital; war history (past years with ongoing civil war);
          time since last border change (FE). Standard errors clustered on country and aggregate ethnic group in parentheses.
          Significance codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}
\end{table}


